On September 14, 2023, StatCan released their latest crop production estimates for Canada based on yield models using satellite imagery and agroclimatic data. According to the report, “the Crop Condition Assessment Program indicates that overall plant health in the Prairie provinces was lower to much lower than normal as of August 31, raising the possibility that yields will be lower to much lower than normal…
Harvest is now in full swing in western Canada. Overall crop development has been ahead of normal across a good portion of the Prairies due to the hot and dry conditions through much of the season, allowing for an initial early start to harvest although recent rain events caused some temporary delays. This hasn’t caused a material setback in completing the harvest in a timely fashion, but the rain has caused some quality problems for the barley crop in certain areas with reports of pre-harvest sprouting, though the extent of the damage is still uncertain.
Seeding in western Canada started late this year due to a cold and delayed spring. However, good progress has been made in recent weeks as dry, warm conditions allowed for most regions to catch up, and there is little risk as to whether the barley crop will get planted in a timely manner.